Live Play Data

An Offer You Can't Refuse

· Instant · Foundations (FDN)

25%

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

15680

Decks Running

6738

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

57%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=2323

14%

55%

T6-9

13%

T10+

Median 7 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 34

On curve 1% (27 / 2323 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 24%

The "good card" funnel

15696 brought · 3709 players

Brought to game

15696

Ever drawn

4070

Reached battlefield

2323

Still on board at game end

158

≥ +7.1pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=2123) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=9501).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=1582).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +9.1pp; 95% confidence interval +7.1pp to +11.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

4635 instances

2.9%

Library

3.4%

Battlefield

50.9%

Graveyard

9.3%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Ms. Bumbleflower 274 decks
2 Tidus, Yuna's Guardian 185 decks
3 Vivi Ornitier 152 decks
4 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 105 decks
5 Y'shtola, Night's Blessed 99 decks
6 Sauron, the Dark Lord 88 decks
7 Fire Lord Azula 79 decks
8 Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima 65 decks
9 Ghyrson Starn, Kelermorph 63 decks
10 Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow 61 decks

Card text

An Offer You Can't Refuse

Instant

Counter target noncreature spell. Its controller creates two Treasure tokens. (They're artifacts with " {T}

, Sacrifice this token: Add one mana of any color.")

Foundations (FDN) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Dallas Williams

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.