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An Offer You Can't Refuse card art
Live Play Data

An Offer You Can't Refuse

{U} · Instant · Foundations (FDN)
25%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
8270
Decks Running
3888
Median Cast Turn
7.0
Drawn → Played
57%
Format

First-cast turn

n=1198
1%
T1
2%
T2
5%
T3
8%
T4
15%
T5
56%
T6-9
13%
T10+
Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 23
On curve 1% (13 / 1198 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 23%

The "good card" funnel

8285 brought · 2325 players
Brought to game
8285
Ever drawn
2092
Reached battlefield
1198
Still on board at game end
76
≥ +6.5pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=1105) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=5064).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=819).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +9.3pp; 95% confidence interval +6.5pp to +12.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

2385 instances
2.6%
Library
3.2%
Battlefield
50.5%
Graveyard
9.9%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
An Offer You Can't Refuse card

An Offer You Can't Refuse

{U}
Instant
Counter target noncreature spell. Its controller creates two Treasure tokens. (They're artifacts with "{T}, Sacrifice this token: Add one mana of any color.")
Foundations (FDN) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Dallas Williams

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.