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Choked Estuary

Land · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Decklist Inclusion

Times Brought

229

Decks Running

153

In Decks

1192

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Final zone distribution

72 instances

1.4%

Library

65.3%

Battlefield

19.4%

Graveyard

2.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

231 brought · 132 players

Brought to game

231

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 92% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

-5.4pp

Players who cast this card win 13% of the time (n=49) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=150).

95% confidence interval -16.2pp to +5.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=51

35%

10%

12%

16%

18%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4 P25 1 · P75 5 · max 13

Cast same turn as drawn 69%

72 of 25 observed games 100%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card? ▾

Playgroup Live has been collecting per-card gameplay data since 2023. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected? ▾

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.