Everflowing Chalice
32% of games where Everflowing Chalice resolved ended in a win for the caster, a +8.7 percentage-point lift over the 23% baseline when the card never left the library.
Everflowing Chalice sits in 5% of the tracked Commander decks on Playgroup Live, a niche but deliberate choice in 1108 of 23033 distinct decks. Its zero mana cost makes it a flexible ramp piece: pay nothing for a blank counter, or sink two or four mana on turn one to bank colorless acceleration for every turn that follows.
When the Chalice reaches a hand, it gets cast 76% of the time. Median first cast lands on turn 5.0, which reflects how most copies are drawn mid-game rather than kept in opening hands. Of the copies that do hit the battlefield, 79% survive through end of game, consistent with a low-profile artifact that rarely demands an immediate answer from opponents.
The commander spread is wide. Tidus, Yuna's Guardian leads the top-commanders list, but the data covers 877 distinct players, and the single heaviest contributor accounts for just 3% of all instances. That spread gives the numbers reasonable breadth for a card at this inclusion level.
- 5% of tracked Commander decks include Everflowing Chalice
- 76% of drawn copies reach the battlefield before the game ends
- T5.0 median first-cast turn across all observed games
- 79% battlefield stickiness once the Chalice resolves
- 32% win rate in games where the Chalice was cast
- 877 distinct players contributing to the dataset
First-cast turn
n=404The "good card" funnel
2196 brought · 877 playersOf 2196 Chalices brought to games, 533 were drawn, 404 of those were cast, and 79% of resolved copies remained on the battlefield at game's end.
Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=376) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=1412).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 25% (n=117) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +8.7pp; 95% confidence interval +4.0pp to +13.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
584 instancesThe vast majority of Chalices never leave the library, a structural feature of 100-card singleton. Of the copies that do surface, most finish on the battlefield, consistent with an artifact that draws few removal spells.
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Tidus, Yuna's Guardian
72 decks
-
2
Kilo, Apogee Mind
60 decks
- 3 Zhulodok, Void Gorger 48 decks
-
4
Sauron, Lord of the Rings
46 decks
-
5
Inspirit, Flagship Vessel
45 decks
-
6
Atraxa, Praetors' Voice
35 decks
-
7
Ulalek, Fused Atrocity
35 decks
-
8
Captain N'ghathrod
25 decks
-
9
Inquisitor Greyfax
22 decks
-
10
Urza, Lord High Artificer
22 decks
Tidus, Yuna's Guardian leads the raw count, but the commander distribution is spread across a wide range of strategies and color identities, from colorless Eldrazi builds to five-color goodstuff decks.