bolt
Game Changer
on the MTG Commander Game Changers list
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Part of Fallout
·
Sorcery
·
Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)
Card Preview
Farewell
5%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
1399
Decks Running
666
In Decks
5114
Decklist Inclusion
5%
Format
Final zone distribution
372 instances3.2%
Library
4.6%
Battlefield
41.1%
Graveyard
16.1%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Tidus, Yuna's Guardian
47 decks
-
2
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
23 decks
-
3
Oloro, Ageless Ascetic
18 decks
-
4
Giada, Font of Hope
17 decks
-
5
Satya, Aetherflux Genius
13 decks
-
6
The Tenth Doctor
12 decks
-
7
Atraxa, Praetors' Voice
11 decks
-
8
Shorikai, Genesis Engine
10 decks
-
9
Yuna, Grand Summoner
9 decks
-
10
Isshin, Two Heavens as One
8 decks
The "good card" funnel
1399 brought · 515 playersBrought to game
1399
Ever drawn
329
Reached battlefield
189
Still on board at game end
17
≥ +0.4pp
Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=176) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=939).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=135) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +7.0pp; 95% confidence interval +0.4pp to +13.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=189
0%
T1
1%
T2
1%
T3
4%
T4
9%
T5
61%
T6-9
25%
T10+
Median
8
P25
6
· P75
9
· max
23
On curve
25%
(21 / 189 cast on T6)
Cast same turn as drawn
25%
1242 of 300 tracked games
99%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 640,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.