bolt
Game Changer
on the MTG Commander Game Changers list
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Part of Fallout
·
Sorcery
·
Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)
Card Preview
Farewell
5%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
813
Decks Running
378
In Decks
3691
Decklist Inclusion
5%
Format
Final zone distribution
204 instances3.9%
Library
3.4%
Battlefield
39.7%
Graveyard
19.1%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Tidus, Yuna's Guardian
31 decks
-
2
Giada, Font of Hope
11 decks
-
3
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
10 decks
-
4
The Tenth Doctor
8 decks
-
5
Oloro, Ageless Ascetic
7 decks
-
6
Baylen, the Haymaker
6 decks
-
7
Isshin, Two Heavens as One
6 decks
-
8
Morska, Undersea Sleuth
6 decks
-
9
Cloud, Ex-SOLDIER
5 decks
-
10
Light-Paws, Emperor's Voice
5 decks
The "good card" funnel
813 brought · 293 playersBrought to game
813
Ever drawn
182
Reached battlefield
107
Still on board at game end
7
≥ +0.5pp
Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=106) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=580).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=74) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +9.2pp; 95% confidence interval +0.5pp to +17.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=107
0%
T1
0%
T2
1%
T3
3%
T4
9%
T5
61%
T6-9
26%
T10+
Median
8
P25
7
· P75
10
· max
13
On curve
23%
(11 / 107 cast on T6)
Cast same turn as drawn
30%
704 of 300 tracked games
99%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.