Talisman of Progress
Talisman of Progress appears in 26% of tracked Commander decks on Playgroup Live, and 74% of drawn copies reach the battlefield, with a median first-cast turn of 4.
Talisman of Progress is a consistent two-mana rock in White-Blue Commander, showing up in 26% of the 5267 distinct decks that have played a tracked game on Playgroup Live. Of the 694 times it has reached a player's hand, 74% ended in a cast.
The median first-cast turn is 4, though the distribution is notably front-loaded: a cluster hits on turns 1 and 2 from opening hands, while the long tail stretches past turn 10 for copies drawn deep into the game. Battlefield stickiness sits at 81%, meaning most resolved copies stay in play long enough to generate meaningful mana across multiple turns.
The commander distribution is wide. 1105 distinct players have brought the Talisman to a tracked game, and the single heaviest contributor accounts for just 1% of all instances. That spread adds credibility to the numbers: this isn't one player's pet card skewing the sample.
- 26% of tracked Commander decks include Talisman of Progress
- 74% of drawn copies are cast before the game ends
- T4 median first-cast turn
- 81% battlefield stickiness once it resolves
- 1105 distinct players have brought it to a tracked game
First-cast turn
n=515The "good card" funnel
2767 brought · 1105 playersOf 2767 Talisman of Progress copies brought to tracked games, 694 were drawn, 515 of those were cast, and the majority remained on the battlefield through end of game.
Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=479) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=1759).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 30% (n=161) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +2.6pp; 95% confidence interval -1.6pp to +6.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
768 instancesMost Talisman of Progress copies that never reach the battlefield simply stay in the library, a structural reality of 100-card singleton rather than a reflection of the card's playability.
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
188 decks
-
2
Captain America, Team Leader
139 decks
-
3
Éowyn, Shieldmaiden
55 decks
-
4
Marneus Calgar
39 decks
-
5
Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima
30 decks
-
6
Sonic the Hedgehog
26 decks
-
7
Commodore Guff
24 decks
-
8
Inquisitor Greyfax
23 decks
-
9
Shorikai, Genesis Engine
23 decks
-
10
Brago, King Eternal
22 decks
The commander spread is wide, anchored by Y'shtola, Captain America, and Éowyn, with no single commander dominating, pointing to the Talisman as a format-wide role-player rather than an archetype-specific pick.