Cyclonic Rift
Cyclonic Rift lands in 41% of games where it resolves, a +16.6 percentage-point lift over the baseline, across 541 tracked casts on Playgroup Live.
Cyclonic Rift sits in 19% of multiplayer Commander decks tracked on Playgroup Live. Across 2607 tracked games it has been cast 590 times, and the win rate in those games comes out at 41%, compared to 24% in games where it stayed in the library.
As an instant, it resolves and heads to the graveyard. The 67% draw-to-play rate reflects how often a drawn copy actually gets cast before the game ends. Players who do cast it hold it a median of 2 turns after drawing it, suggesting deliberate timing rather than slamming it on the first open window. Median first cast lands on turn 7.0, well into the mid-game, where the overload mode at {6}{U} becomes reachable.
The card's spread across 977 distinct players, with the heaviest contributor accounting for just 3% of instances, gives the dataset reasonable breadth for a format-legal card at this power level. Still, at 2607 tracked games the win-rate lift should be read as a directional signal, not a definitive verdict.
- 19% of tracked Commander decks include Cyclonic Rift
- 67% of drawn copies are cast before the game ends
- T7.0 median first-cast turn, comfortably in overload range
- 41% win rate in games where Cyclonic Rift resolved
- +16.6pp win-rate lift over the library baseline, a directional early signal
- 977 distinct players have brought Cyclonic Rift to a tracked game
First-cast turn
n=590The "good card" funnel
3274 brought · 977 playersOf 3274 copies brought to tracked games, 878 were drawn, 590 of those were cast, confirming that drawn copies translate to casts at a 67% rate.
Players who cast this card win 41% of the time (n=541) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=1942).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=259) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +16.6pp; 95% confidence interval +12.5pp to +20.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
997 instancesThe graveyard dominates Cyclonic Rift's final zone chart, as expected for an instant that resolves and is done. The library share is minimal, meaning most copies in tracked games were actively seen or cast.
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
34 decks
-
2
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
29 decks
-
3
Vivi Ornitier
27 decks
-
4
Oloro, Ageless Ascetic
24 decks
-
5
Captain N'ghathrod
23 decks
-
6
Atraxa, Praetors' Voice
20 decks
-
7
Ms. Bumbleflower
20 decks
-
8
Jodah, the Unifier
19 decks
-
9
Nekusar, the Mindrazer
19 decks
-
10
Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge
18 decks
The commander list spans mono-blue, five-color, and everything in between. No single commander archetype monopolizes Cyclonic Rift, pointing to its role as a broad blue staple rather than a build-around piece.