Fell the Profane // Fell Mire
Fell the Profane // Fell Mire appears in 9% of tracked Commander decks on Playgroup Live, and 65% of drawn copies reach the cast step, with a median first-cast turn of 6.0.
Fell the Profane // Fell Mire is a modal double-faced card from Modern Horizons 3: an instant that destroys a non-creature, non-land permanent on one face, and a black-producing land on the other. That flexibility is exactly why it shows up in 9% of the 4221 tracked Commander decks in Playgroup Live's dataset, across 398 distinct lists.
The draw-to-play rate sits at 65%, which is directionally solid for a card that competes with lands for a deck slot. Median first cast lands on turn 6.0, consistent with players holding it until a target presents itself rather than deploying it the first chance they get. The hand-to-cast delay averages around 2 turns, which reflects both deliberate timing and game-length effects on late draws.
The dataset is well-distributed across 289 unique players, with no single contributor accounting for more than a small slice of tracked instances. That spread gives the play-pattern data reasonable directional value, even as Playgroup Live's overall game count stays modest.
- 9% of tracked Commander decks include Fell the Profane // Fell Mire
- 26% draw rate across tracked game participations
- 65% of drawn copies were cast before the game ended
- T6.0 median first-cast turn
- 289 unique players have brought this card to a tracked game
First-cast turn
n=114The "good card" funnel
684 brought · 289 playersOf 684 copies brought to tracked games, 175 were drawn and 114 of those were cast, a funnel that reflects both the 100-card singleton variance and deliberate timing on when to fire the instant.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=112) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=455).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 37% (n=60) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +2.6pp; 95% confidence interval -6.1pp to +11.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
209 instancesMost tracked copies of Fell the Profane // Fell Mire finish in the graveyard after resolving as an instant, with a meaningful share still on the battlefield as a land, and only a small number stranded in hand or exiled.
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Betor, Ancestor's Voice
9 decks
-
2
Witherbloom, the Balancer
9 decks
-
3
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
8 decks
-
4
Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow
8 decks
-
5
K'rrik, Son of Yawgmoth
5 decks
-
6
Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied
5 decks
-
7
Oloro, Ageless Ascetic
5 decks
-
8
Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls
5 decks
-
9
Amalia Benavides Aguirre
4 decks
-
10
Deadpool, Trading Card
4 decks
The commander distribution is spread across at least ten distinct commanders with no single pairing dominating, which is consistent with a broadly playable black utility piece rather than a narrow combo piece.