Fell the Profane // Fell Mire
Fell the Profane // Fell Mire appears in 9% of tracked Commander decks on Playgroup Live, and 67% of drawn copies reach the cast step, with a median first-cast turn of 6.
Fell the Profane // Fell Mire is a modal double-faced card from Modern Horizons 3: an instant that destroys a non-creature, non-land permanent on one face, and a black-producing land on the other. That flexibility is exactly why it shows up in 9% of the 8082 tracked Commander decks in Playgroup Live's dataset, across 741 distinct lists.
The draw-to-play rate sits at 67%, which is directionally solid for a card that competes with lands for a deck slot. Median first cast lands on turn 6, consistent with players holding it until a target presents itself rather than deploying it the first chance they get. The hand-to-cast delay averages around 2 turns, which reflects both deliberate timing and game-length effects on late draws.
The dataset is well-distributed across 544 unique players, with no single contributor accounting for more than a small slice of tracked instances. That spread gives the play-pattern data reasonable directional value, even as Playgroup Live's overall game count stays modest.
- 9% of tracked Commander decks include Fell the Profane // Fell Mire
- 26% draw rate across tracked game participations
- 67% of drawn copies were cast before the game ended
- T6 median first-cast turn
- 544 unique players have brought this card to a tracked game
First-cast turn
n=245The "good card" funnel
1433 brought · 544 playersOf 1433 copies brought to tracked games, 367 were drawn and 245 of those were cast, a funnel that reflects both the 100-card singleton variance and deliberate timing on when to fire the instant.
Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=235) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=893).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 40% (n=116) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +4.2pp; 95% confidence interval -1.9pp to +10.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
436 instancesMost tracked copies of Fell the Profane // Fell Mire finish in the graveyard after resolving as an instant, with a meaningful share still on the battlefield as a land, and only a small number stranded in hand or exiled.
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
24 decks
-
2
Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel
23 decks
-
3
Betor, Ancestor's Voice
15 decks
-
4
Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow
14 decks
-
5
Witherbloom, the Balancer
12 decks
-
6
Deadpool, Trading Card
10 decks
-
7
Fire Lord Azula
8 decks
-
8
Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima
8 decks
-
9
K'rrik, Son of Yawgmoth
8 decks
-
10
Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied
8 decks
The commander distribution is spread across at least ten distinct commanders with no single pairing dominating, which is consistent with a broadly playable black utility piece rather than a narrow combo piece.