Live Play Data

Talisman of Conviction

· Artifact · Marvel Super Heroes Commander (MSC)

24%

Live Inclusion

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

862

Decks Running

456

Median Cast Turn

4.0

Drawn → Played

75%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

24% of tracked Boros-accessible Commander decks on Playgroup Live run Talisman of Conviction. When drawn, 75% of copies are cast, with a median first-cast turn of 4.0.

Talisman of Conviction sits in 24% of tracked Commander decks on Playgroup Live, appearing in 456 of the 1881 distinct decks that have played a live game. For a 2-mana mana rock restricted to Red-White color identities, that is a strong foothold in the format.

The card earns its slot through consistency. Of 202 copies that reached a player's hand, 75% were cast before the game ended. Median first cast lands on turn 4.0, right on schedule for a 2-mana accelerant. The 1 damage rider from its colored ability is a real cost at 40 life, but players clearly judge it acceptable across the range of pods we track.

The data is well-spread: 381 distinct players have brought Talisman of Conviction to a tracked game, and the single heaviest contributor accounts for just 3% of all instances. That breadth strengthens confidence in what we see here, even at Playgroup Live's current sample size.

At a glance

24% of tracked Commander decks include Talisman of Conviction
75% of drawn copies are cast before the game ends
T4.0 median first-cast turn, on curve for a 2-mana rock
76% battlefield stickiness once resolved
381 distinct players have brought it to a tracked game

First-cast turn

n=152

24%

16%

12%

27%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4.0 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 11

On curve 30% (36 / 152 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 42%

The "good card" funnel

864 brought · 381 players

Brought to game

864

Ever drawn

202

Reached battlefield

152

Still on board at game end

115

75%

Of 864 Talismans brought to tracked games, 202 were drawn, 152 of those were cast, and 76% of resolved copies survived to the game's final state.

≥ -3.7pp

Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=151) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=604).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 30% (n=49) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +3.5pp; 95% confidence interval -3.7pp to +10.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

221 instances

1.4%

Library

52.0%

Battlefield

23.5%

Graveyard

6.8%

Exile

Most Talisman of Conviction copies never leave the library, a structural reality of 100-card singleton decks rather than a signal about the card's power. Of observed copies, the majority that resolved stayed on the battlefield through game end.

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Captain America, Team Leader leads by a clear margin, but the list spans Boros, Mardu, and Jeskai commanders, reflecting how broadly Red-White mana acceleration is valued across color combinations.

Frequently Asked

How often is Talisman of Conviction drawn in a Commander game?

In 784 tracked multiplayer games where the card was in the deck, it was drawn 23% of the time. That is typical for a singleton in a 100-card deck. Of 202 copies that entered a hand, 75% were cast before the game concluded.

What turn does Talisman of Conviction usually hit the battlefield?

Median first-cast turn is 4.0. Turn 2 is the single most common cast turn, which lines up with opening-hand keeps. The distribution has a long tail: the 75th percentile sits at turn 7, meaning a meaningful share of casts come well after the early game, when a player finally draws it off the top.

Does casting Talisman of Conviction correlate with winning?

Win rate when cast is 26% versus 23% when the card stayed in the library, a delta of +3.5 percentage points. Both sample sizes are reasonably large, but the confidence interval crosses zero, so treat this as a directional early signal rather than a firm conclusion. The card likely helps, but the data is not yet conclusive.

Is Talisman of Conviction legal in Commander?

Yes. Talisman of Conviction is legal in Commander with no restrictions. It is also legal in Legacy, Modern, Vintage, Historic, Timeless, and several other formats. It is not legal in Standard, Pioneer, Pauper, or Penny Dreadful.

Which commanders run Talisman of Conviction most often?

Captain America, Team Leader leads the tracked data, followed by Éowyn, Shieldmaiden and Terra, Herald of Hope. Most top commanders share a Red-White or Red-White-Blue color identity, which is expected since the Talisman's colored ability produces only Red and White mana. Pure Boros commanders like Lightning, Army of One and Kratos, Stoic Father also appear prominently.

How reliable is this data given Playgroup Live's sample size?

784 multiplayer games have been tracked with this card in the pool, and 381 distinct players contribute to the dataset. The single heaviest contributor accounts for just 3% of all instances, indicating good spread. Numbers here are directional and consistent, not statistically definitive. We flag this on every card page and update stats in real time as more games are logged.