Talisman of Conviction
24% of tracked Boros-accessible Commander decks on Playgroup Live run Talisman of Conviction. When drawn, 75% of copies are cast, with a median first-cast turn of 4.
Talisman of Conviction sits in 24% of tracked Commander decks on Playgroup Live, appearing in 518 of the 2163 distinct decks that have played a live game. For a 2-mana mana rock restricted to Red-White color identities, that is a strong foothold in the format.
The card earns its slot through consistency. Of 237 copies that reached a player's hand, 75% were cast before the game ended. Median first cast lands on turn 4, right on schedule for a 2-mana accelerant. The 1 damage rider from its colored ability is a real cost at 40 life, but players clearly judge it acceptable across the range of pods we track.
The data is well-spread: 431 distinct players have brought Talisman of Conviction to a tracked game, and the single heaviest contributor accounts for just 2% of all instances. That breadth strengthens confidence in what we see here, even at Playgroup Live's current sample size.
- 24% of tracked Commander decks include Talisman of Conviction
- 75% of drawn copies are cast before the game ends
- T4 median first-cast turn, on curve for a 2-mana rock
- 76% battlefield stickiness once resolved
- 431 distinct players have brought it to a tracked game
First-cast turn
n=177The "good card" funnel
998 brought · 431 playersOf 998 Talismans brought to tracked games, 237 were drawn, 177 of those were cast, and 76% of resolved copies survived to the game's final state.
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=173) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=681).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 30% (n=59) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +2.7pp; 95% confidence interval -4.0pp to +9.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
260 instancesMost Talisman of Conviction copies never leave the library, a structural reality of 100-card singleton decks rather than a signal about the card's power. Of observed copies, the majority that resolved stayed on the battlefield through game end.
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Captain America, Team Leader
39 decks
-
2
Terra, Herald of Hope
22 decks
-
3
Éowyn, Shieldmaiden
20 decks
-
4
Caesar, Legion's Emperor
16 decks
-
5
Lightning, Army of One
16 decks
-
6
Kaalia of the Vast
15 decks
-
7
Queen Marchesa
14 decks
-
8
Zurgo Stormrender
14 decks
-
9
Arabella, Abandoned Doll
12 decks
-
10
Mr. House, President and CEO
12 decks
Captain America, Team Leader leads by a clear margin, but the list spans Boros, Mardu, and Jeskai commanders, reflecting how broadly Red-White mana acceleration is valued across color combinations.