Live Play Data

Bane's Contingency

· Instant · Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate (CLB)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

192

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

40%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=21

10%

52%

T6-9

33%

T10+

Median 8 P25 6 · P75 10 · max 23

On curve 5% (1 / 21 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 30%

The "good card" funnel

192 brought · 86 players

Brought to game

192

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -8.8pp

Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=21) , vs 16% when it never left the library (n=121).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 31% (n=25).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.5pp; 95% confidence interval -8.8pp to +29.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

55 instances

3.6%

Library

1.8%

Battlefield

41.8%

Graveyard

3.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Bane's Contingency

Instant

Counter target spell. If that spell targets a commander you control, instead counter that spell, scry 2, then draw a card.

Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate (CLB) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Hector Ortiz

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 750,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.