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Part of Murders at Karlov Manor
·
Instant
·
Avatar: The Last Airbender Eternal (TLE)
Card Preview
Consider
3%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
255
Decks Running
167
In Decks
1805
Decklist Inclusion
3%
Format
Final zone distribution
80 instances3.8%
Library
3.8%
Battlefield
72.5%
Graveyard
10.0%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Sauron, Lord of the Rings
14 decks
-
2
Alela, Cunning Conqueror
11 decks
-
3
Fire Lord Azula
8 decks
-
4
Lord of the Nazgûl
8 decks
-
5
Vivi Ornitier
8 decks
-
6
Prismari, the Inspiration
7 decks
-
7
Sokka, Tenacious Tactician
7 decks
-
8
Stella Lee, Wild Card
5 decks
-
9
Ms. Bumbleflower
4 decks
-
10
Sauron, the Dark Lord
4 decks
The "good card" funnel
256 brought · 149 playersBrought to game
256
Ever drawn
73
Reached battlefield
53
Still on board at game end
3
≥ -7.3pp
Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=52) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=171).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=19) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +5.6pp; 95% confidence interval -7.3pp to +18.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=53
13%
T1
4%
T2
17%
T3
15%
T4
9%
T5
32%
T6-9
9%
T10+
Median
5
P25
3
· P75
7
· max
14
On curve
13%
(7 / 53 cast on T1)
Cast same turn as drawn
43%
53 of 100 times cast
53%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.