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Part of Murders at Karlov Manor
·
Instant
·
Avatar: The Last Airbender Eternal (TLE)
Live Play Data
Consider
6%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
1272
Decks Running
687
Median Cast Turn
5.0
Drawn → Played
76%
Format
First-cast turn
n=268
14%
T1
8%
T2
11%
T3
13%
T4
8%
T5
35%
T6-9
11%
T10+
Median
5.0
P25
3
· P75
7
· max
17
On curve
14%
(37 / 268 cast on T1)
Cast same turn as drawn
53%
The "good card" funnel
1273 brought · 563 playersBrought to game
1273
Ever drawn
352
Reached battlefield
268
Still on board at game end
12
≥ +3.2pp
Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=246) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=766).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 32% (n=76).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +9.1pp; 95% confidence interval +3.2pp to +15.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
394 instances5.8%
Library
3.0%
Battlefield
62.9%
Graveyard
13.5%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Sauron, Lord of the Rings
52 decks
-
2
Vivi Ornitier
42 decks
-
3
Lord of the Nazgûl
33 decks
-
4
Fire Lord Azula
27 decks
-
5
Shiko and Narset, Unified
25 decks
-
6
Alela, Cunning Conqueror
24 decks
-
7
Sauron, the Dark Lord
24 decks
-
8
Ms. Bumbleflower
19 decks
-
9
Sokka, Tenacious Tactician
18 decks
-
10
Mirko, Obsessive Theorist
15 decks
Card text
Consider
Instant
Surveil 1. (Look at the top card of your library. You may put it into your graveyard.)
Draw a card.
Avatar: The Last Airbender Eternal (TLE)
·
Common
·
Illustrated by Brian Yuen
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.