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Dance with Calamity card art
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Dance with Calamity

{7} {R} · Sorcery · Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC)
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
142
Decks Running
94
In Decks
560
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format

Final zone distribution

41 instances
4.9%
Library
51.2%
Graveyard
22.0%
Exile
22.0%
Hand

The "good card" funnel

143 brought · 86 players
Brought to game
143
Ever drawn
35
Reached battlefield
22
Still on board at game end
0
≥ -9.8pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=22) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=94).

Observed gap +10.8pp; 95% confidence interval -9.8pp to +31.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=22
0%
T1
0%
T2
0%
T3
14%
T4
18%
T5
55%
T6-9
14%
T10+
Median 6.5 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 12
On curve 77% (4 / 22 cast on T8)
22 of 100 times cast 22%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 630,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.