Live Play Data

Dark Prophecy

· Enchantment · Magic 2014 (M14)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

214

Decks Running

112

Median Cast Turn

—

Drawn → Played

36%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=17

Not enough observed casts yet to show a reliable distribution.

The "good card" funnel

214 brought · 110 players

Brought to game

214

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -18.5pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=16) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=146).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=27).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +6.2pp; 95% confidence interval -18.5pp to +30.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

55 instances

3.6%

Library

27.3%

Battlefield

12.7%

Graveyard

10.9%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Teysa Karlov 18 decks
2 Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel 9 decks
3 Edgar Markov 6 decks
4 Marrow-Gnawer 4 decks
5 Ares, God of War 3 decks
6 Judith, Carnage Connoisseur 3 decks
7 Meren of Clan Nel Toth 3 decks
8 Shirei, Shizo's Caretaker 3 decks
9 Brimaz, Blight of Oreskos 2 decks
10 Caesar, Legion's Emperor 2 decks

Card text

Dark Prophecy

Enchantment

Whenever a creature you control dies, you draw a card and you lose 1 life.

Magic 2014 (M14) · Rare · Illustrated by Scott Chou

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.