Live Play Data

Divergent Equation

· Instant · Secrets of Strixhaven (SOS)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

244

Decks Running

103

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

37%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=23

70%

T6-9

26%

T10+

Median 8 P25 6 · P75 10 · max 12

Cast same turn as drawn 17%

The "good card" funnel

244 brought · 96 players

Brought to game

244

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -6.3pp

Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=23) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=157).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=36).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +12.8pp; 95% confidence interval -6.3pp to +31.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

71 instances

2.8%

Library

2.8%

Battlefield

31.0%

Graveyard

19.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Divergent Equation

Instant

Return up to X target instant and/or sorcery cards from your graveyard to your hand. Exile Divergent Equation.

Secrets of Strixhaven (SOS) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Inkognit

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 780,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.