Live Play Data

Ember Island Production

· Sorcery · Avatar: The Last Airbender (TLA)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

216

Decks Running

105

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

64%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=32

13%

16%

50%

T6-9

22%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 13

On curve 28% (5 / 32 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 23%

The "good card" funnel

216 brought · 99 players

Brought to game

216

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -14.4pp

Players who cast this card win 22% of the time (n=29) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=142).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 36% (n=16).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +1.1pp; 95% confidence interval -14.4pp to +16.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

58 instances

6.9%

Library

3.4%

Battlefield

55.2%

Graveyard

15.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Ember Island Production

Sorcery

Choose one — • Create a token that's a copy of target creature you control, except it's not legendary and it's a 4/4 Hero in addition to its other types. • Create a token that's a copy of target creature an opponent controls, except it's not legendary and it's a 2/2 Coward in addition to its other types.

Avatar: The Last Airbender (TLA) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Brian Yuen

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.