Live Play Data

Fateful Showdown

· Instant · Kaladesh (KLD)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

110

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

—

Drawn → Played

44%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=15

Not enough observed casts yet to show a reliable distribution.

The "good card" funnel

110 brought · 44 players

Brought to game

110

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -10.4pp

Players who cast this card win 38% of the time (n=15) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=64).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 53% (n=18).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +16.3pp; 95% confidence interval -10.4pp to +42.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

42 instances

4.8%

Library

2.4%

Battlefield

64.3%

Graveyard

7.1%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 The Emperor of Palamecia // The Lord Master of Hell 16 decks
2 The Locust God 7 decks
3 Rielle, the Everwise 5 decks
4 Astonishing Spider-Man 2 decks
5 Brallin, Skyshark Rider 2 decks
6 Niv-Mizzet, Parun 2 decks
7 Zedruu the Greathearted 2 decks
8 Admiral Beckett Brass 1 decks
9 Alesha, Who Laughs at Fate 1 decks
10 Arjun, the Shifting Flame 1 decks

Card text

Fateful Showdown

Instant

Fateful Showdown deals damage to any target equal to the number of cards in your hand. Discard all the cards in your hand, then draw that many cards.

Kaladesh (KLD) · Rare · Illustrated by Chris Rallis

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.