Firebender Ascension card art
Card Preview

Firebender Ascension

{1} {R} · Enchantment · Avatar: The Last Airbender (TLA)
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
260
Decks Running
122
In Decks
735
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format

Final zone distribution

72 instances
63.9%
Battlefield
20.8%
Graveyard
1.4%
Exile
13.9%
Hand

The "good card" funnel

260 brought · 121 players
Brought to game
260
Ever drawn
64
Reached battlefield
52
Still on board at game end
46

Once cast, 88% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -9.4pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=50) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=171).

Observed gap +3.7pp; 95% confidence interval -9.4pp to +16.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=52
4%
T1
15%
T2
15%
T3
8%
T4
15%
T5
31%
T6-9
12%
T10+
Median 5.0 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 12
On curve 19% (8 / 52 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 39%
52 of 100 times cast 52%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 640,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.