bolt
Game Changer
on the MTG Commander Game Changers list
·
Legendary Creature — Human Advisor
·
Double Masters 2022 (2X2)
Card Preview
Grand Arbiter Augustin IV
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
183
Decks Running
91
In Decks
713
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format
Final zone distribution
69 instances5.8%
Library
36.2%
Battlefield
15.9%
Graveyard
5.8%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Grand Arbiter Augustin IV
17 decks
-
2
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
14 decks
-
3
Oloro, Ageless Ascetic
8 decks
-
4
Sen Triplets
5 decks
-
5
Hope Estheim
3 decks
-
6
Numot, the Devastator
3 decks
-
7
Tivit, Seller of Secrets
3 decks
-
8
Ms. Bumbleflower
2 decks
-
9
Sokrates, Athenian Teacher
2 decks
-
10
Splinter, Radical Rat
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
183 brought · 86 playersBrought to game
183
Ever drawn
50
Reached battlefield
31
Still on board at game end
25
Once cast, 52% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -15.2pp
Players who cast this card win 22% of the time (n=31) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=118).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 31% (n=20) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +0.3pp; 95% confidence interval -15.2pp to +15.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=31
3%
T1
0%
T2
6%
T3
13%
T4
23%
T5
35%
T6-9
19%
T10+
Median
6
P25
5
· P75
9
· max
13
On curve
23%
(4 / 31 cast on T4)
Cast same turn as drawn
39%
31 of 100 times cast
31%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 630,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.