collections_bookmark Part of Modern Horizons 3
Herigast, Erupting Nullkite card art
Live Play Data

Herigast, Erupting Nullkite

{9} · Legendary Creature — Eldrazi Dragon · Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)
0%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
177
Decks Running
65
Median Cast Turn
5
Drawn → Played
60%
Format

First-cast turn

n=51
0%
T1
0%
T2
10%
T3
27%
T4
31%
T5
31%
T6-9
0%
T10+
Median 5 P25 4 · P75 6 · max 8
On curve 100% (0 / 51 cast on T9)

The "good card" funnel

177 brought · 61 players
Brought to game
177
Ever drawn
42
Reached battlefield
25
Still on board at game end
11

Once cast, 44% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -5.1pp

Players who cast this card win 46% of the time (n=21) , vs 32% when it never left the library (n=117).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 15% (n=15).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +14.8pp; 95% confidence interval -5.1pp to +34.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

45 instances
2.2%
Library
24.4%
Battlefield
24.4%
Graveyard
8.9%
Exile
Card text
Herigast, Erupting Nullkite card

Herigast, Erupting Nullkite

{9}
Legendary Creature — Eldrazi Dragon
Emerge {6}{R}{R} (You may cast this spell by sacrificing a creature and paying the emerge cost reduced by that creature's mana value.) When you cast this spell, you may exile your hand. If you do, draw three cards. Flying Each creature spell you cast has emerge. The emerge cost is equal to its mana cost.
6 / 6
Modern Horizons 3 (MH3) · Mythic · Illustrated by Lucas Graciano

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.