Hordeling Outburst card art
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Hordeling Outburst

{1} {R} {R} · Sorcery · Masters 25 (A25)
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
251
Decks Running
124
In Decks
795
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format
Card text
Hordeling Outburst card

Hordeling Outburst

{1} {R} {R}
Sorcery
Create three 1/1 red Goblin creature tokens.
Masters 25 (A25) · Common · Illustrated by Zoltan Boros

Final zone distribution

56 instances
3.6%
Library
1.8%
Battlefield
64.3%
Graveyard
12.5%
Exile

The "good card" funnel

251 brought · 116 players
Brought to game
251
Ever drawn
46
Reached battlefield
33
Still on board at game end
1
≥ -2.7pp

Players who cast this card win 42% of the time (n=29) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=168).

Observed gap +14.4pp; 95% confidence interval -2.7pp to +31.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=33
3%
T1
3%
T2
15%
T3
15%
T4
21%
T5
27%
T6-9
15%
T10+
Median 5 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 12
On curve 21% (5 / 33 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 29%
33 of 100 times cast 33%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 660,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.