Live Play Data

Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy

· Legendary Creature — Human Druid · Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths (IKO)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

834

Decks Running

312

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

76%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=391

17%

30%

17%

10%

14%

T6-9

T10+

Median 3 P25 2 · P75 5 · max 17

On curve 47% (116 / 391 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 50%

The "good card" funnel

834 brought · 286 players

Brought to game

834

Ever drawn

245

Reached battlefield

185

Still on board at game end

132

Once cast, 71% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +13.3pp

Players who cast this card win 46% of the time (n=170) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=482).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 46% (n=45).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +21.1pp; 95% confidence interval +13.3pp to +28.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

268 instances

3.7%

Library

49.3%

Battlefield

21.3%

Graveyard

4.9%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Sisay, Weatherlight Captain 26 decks
2 Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge 17 decks
3 Kenrith, the Returned King 16 decks
4 Thrasios, Triton Hero 13 decks
5 Jodah, the Unifier 11 decks
6 Ms. Bumbleflower 11 decks
7 The Ur-Dragon 10 decks
8 Ulalek, Fused Atrocity 10 decks
9 Helga, Skittish Seer 8 decks
10 Rograkh, Son of Rohgahh 8 decks

Card text

Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy

Legendary Creature — Human Druid

Whenever you tap a nonland permanent for mana, add one mana of any type that permanent produced. {5}

: Look at the top five cards of your library. You may put a non-Human creature card from among them onto the battlefield. Put the rest on the bottom of your library in a random order.

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Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths (IKO) · Mythic · Illustrated by Jason Rainville

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.