Live Play Data

Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy

· Legendary Creature — Human Druid · Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths (IKO)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

361

Decks Running

172

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

76%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=81

11%

20%

14%

28%

T6-9

11%

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 14

On curve 16% (9 / 81 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 53%

The "good card" funnel

361 brought · 152 players

Brought to game

361

Ever drawn

106

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

108

Once cast, 68% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +3.8pp

Players who cast this card win 44% of the time (n=74) , vs 29% when it never left the library (n=196).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 50% (n=19).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +15.3pp; 95% confidence interval +3.8pp to +26.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

178 instances

3.4%

Library

60.7%

Battlefield

11.8%

Graveyard

2.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy 34 decks
2 Kenrith, the Returned King 10 decks
3 Sisay, Weatherlight Captain 9 decks
4 Thrasios, Triton Hero 6 decks
5 Bruce Banner // The Incredible Hulk 5 decks
6 Crystal, Inhuman Princess 5 decks
7 Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge 5 decks
8 Jodah, the Unifier 5 decks
9 Ms. Bumbleflower 5 decks
10 Ulalek, Fused Atrocity 5 decks

Card text

Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy

Legendary Creature — Human Druid

Whenever you tap a nonland permanent for mana, add one mana of any type that permanent produced. {5}

: Look at the top five cards of your library. You may put a non-Human creature card from among them onto the battlefield. Put the rest on the bottom of your library in a random order.

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Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths (IKO) · Mythic · Illustrated by Jason Rainville

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.