Live Play Data

Mana Sculpt

· Instant · Secrets of Strixhaven (SOS)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

656

Decks Running

318

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

56%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=88

63%

T6-9

17%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 13

On curve 2% (1 / 88 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 21%

The "good card" funnel

656 brought · 296 players

Brought to game

656

Ever drawn

158

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ +2.8pp

Players who cast this card win 37% of the time (n=83) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=419).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 31% (n=67).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +13.3pp; 95% confidence interval +2.8pp to +23.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

184 instances

2.7%

Library

2.7%

Battlefield

48.9%

Graveyard

13.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Gandalf, Party Guest 34 decks
2 Vivi Ornitier 21 decks
3 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 18 decks
4 Inalla, Archmage Ritualist 14 decks
5 Y'shtola, Night's Blessed 14 decks
6 Alania, Divergent Storm 9 decks
7 Prismari, the Inspiration 9 decks
8 The Emperor of Palamecia // The Lord Master of Hell 9 decks
9 Saruman, the White Hand 7 decks
10 Vraska, Soul of Stone 7 decks

Card text

Mana Sculpt

Instant

Counter target spell. If you control a Wizard, add an amount of {C}

equal to the amount of mana spent to cast that spell at the beginning of your next main phase.

Secrets of Strixhaven (SOS) · Rare · Illustrated by Cristi Balanescu

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.