Live Play Data

Mana Sculpt

· Instant · Secrets of Strixhaven (SOS)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

237

Decks Running

140

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

63%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=39

77%

T6-9

10%

T10+

Median 7 P25 6 · P75 8 · max 11

On curve 3% (1 / 39 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 16%

The "good card" funnel

237 brought · 138 players

Brought to game

237

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -2.5pp

Players who cast this card win 40% of the time (n=39) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=138).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 41% (n=19).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +13.8pp; 95% confidence interval -2.5pp to +30.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

72 instances

1.4%

Library

1.4%

Battlefield

55.6%

Graveyard

12.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Gandalf, Party Guest 12 decks
2 Vivi Ornitier 9 decks
3 Alania, Divergent Storm 7 decks
4 The Emperor of Palamecia // The Lord Master of Hell 7 decks
5 Inalla, Archmage Ritualist 5 decks
6 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 5 decks
7 Y'shtola, Night's Blessed 5 decks
8 Baral, Chief of Compliance 4 decks
9 Prismari, the Inspiration 4 decks
10 Saruman, the White Hand 4 decks

Card text

Mana Sculpt

Instant

Counter target spell. If you control a Wizard, add an amount of {C}

equal to the amount of mana spent to cast that spell at the beginning of your next main phase.

Secrets of Strixhaven (SOS) · Rare · Illustrated by Cristi Balanescu

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.