collections_bookmark Part of Secrets of Strixhaven
Mana Sculpt card art
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Mana Sculpt

{1} {U} {U} · Instant · Secrets of Strixhaven (SOS)
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
148
Decks Running
83
In Decks
486
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format

Final zone distribution

45 instances
2.2%
Library
51.1%
Graveyard
13.3%
Exile
33.3%
Hand

The "good card" funnel

148 brought · 84 players
Brought to game
148
Ever drawn
38
Reached battlefield
24
Still on board at game end
0
≥ -7.4pp

Players who cast this card win 41% of the time (n=23) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=96).

Observed gap +14.1pp; 95% confidence interval -7.4pp to +35.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=24
0%
T1
0%
T2
0%
T3
4%
T4
8%
T5
75%
T6-9
13%
T10+
Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 10
On curve 0% (0 / 24 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 17%
24 of 100 times cast 24%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 630,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.