Live Play Data

Mystic Reflection

· Instant · Kaldheim (KHM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

427

Decks Running

180

Median Cast Turn

8.0

Drawn → Played

39%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=48

13%

60%

T6-9

15%

T10+

Median 8.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 15

On curve 6% (1 / 48 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 23%

The "good card" funnel

427 brought · 175 players

Brought to game

427

Ever drawn

122

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -11.0pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=43) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=257).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=69).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +2.7pp; 95% confidence interval -11.0pp to +16.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

135 instances

3.0%

Library

6.7%

Battlefield

39.3%

Graveyard

21.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Mystic Reflection

Instant

Choose target nonlegendary creature. The next time one or more creatures or planeswalkers enter this turn, they enter as copies of the chosen creature. Foretell {U}

(During your turn, you may pay {2}

and exile this card from your hand face down. Cast it on a later turn for its foretell cost.)

Kaldheim (KHM) · Rare · Illustrated by YW Tang

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.