Live Play Data

Naktamun Lorespinner // Wheel of Fortune

· Creature — Jackal Wizard // Sorcery · Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

325

Decks Running

165

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

59%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=56

14%

16%

48%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 10

On curve 21% (8 / 56 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 31%

The "good card" funnel

325 brought · 155 players

Brought to game

325

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 52% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -3.7pp

Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=51) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=198).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 36% (n=35).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.0pp; 95% confidence interval -3.7pp to +23.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

110 instances

6.4%

Library

26.4%

Battlefield

29.1%

Graveyard

14.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Quintorius, History Chaser 89 decks
2 Codie, Ravenous Codex 13 decks
3 Nekusar, the Mindrazer 5 decks
4 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 4 decks
5 Lorehold, the Historian 4 decks
6 Tersa Lightshatter 3 decks
7 Winter, Misanthropic Guide 3 decks
8 Clive, Ifrit's Dominant // Ifrit, Warden of Inferno 2 decks
9 Fin Fang Foom 2 decks
10 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 2 decks

Card text

Naktamun Lorespinner

Creature — Jackal Wizard

At the beginning of your upkeep, if a player has one or fewer cards in hand, this creature becomes prepared. (While it's prepared, you may cast a copy of its spell. Doing so unprepares it.)

3 / 3

Wheel of Fortune

Sorcery

Each player discards their hand, then draws seven cards.

Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC) · Rare · Illustrated by Ekaterina Burmak

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.