Live Play Data

Naktamun Lorespinner // Wheel of Fortune

· Creature — Jackal Wizard // Sorcery · Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

600

Decks Running

267

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

57%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=98

13%

10%

49%

T6-9

13%

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 15

On curve 14% (13 / 98 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 30%

The "good card" funnel

600 brought · 249 players

Brought to game

600

Ever drawn

172

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 55% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -0.2pp

Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=97) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=371).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 30% (n=70).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +9.7pp; 95% confidence interval -0.2pp to +19.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

203 instances

4.9%

Library

26.6%

Battlefield

34.5%

Graveyard

11.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Quintorius, History Chaser 117 decks
2 Codie, Ravenous Codex 34 decks
3 Lorehold, the Historian 13 decks
4 Nekusar, the Mindrazer 12 decks
5 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 5 decks
6 Winter, Misanthropic Guide 4 decks
7 Clive, Ifrit's Dominant // Ifrit, Warden of Inferno 3 decks
8 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 3 decks
9 Prismari, the Inspiration 3 decks
10 Tersa Lightshatter 3 decks

Card text

Naktamun Lorespinner

Creature — Jackal Wizard

At the beginning of your upkeep, if a player has one or fewer cards in hand, this creature becomes prepared. (While it's prepared, you may cast a copy of its spell. Doing so unprepares it.)

3 / 3

Wheel of Fortune

Sorcery

Each player discards their hand, then draws seven cards.

Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC) · Rare · Illustrated by Ekaterina Burmak

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 780,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.