Live Play Data

Oversimplify

· Sorcery · Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

426

Decks Running

207

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

56%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=51

59%

T6-9

31%

T10+

Median 8 P25 6 · P75 10 · max 15

On curve 10% (3 / 51 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 29%

The "good card" funnel

426 brought · 195 players

Brought to game

426

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -10.9pp

Players who cast this card win 19% of the time (n=45) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=280).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 31% (n=35).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +0.8pp; 95% confidence interval -10.9pp to +12.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

100 instances

5.0%

Library

6.0%

Battlefield

52.0%

Graveyard

5.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Oversimplify

Sorcery

Exile all creatures. Each player creates a 0/0 green and blue Fractal creature token and puts a number of +1/+1 counters on it equal to the total power of creatures they controlled that were exiled this way.

Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC) · Rare · Illustrated by Liiga Smilshkalne

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.