collections_bookmark Part of Duskmourn: House of Horror
Oversimplify card art
Card Preview

Oversimplify

{3} {G} {U} · Sorcery · Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC)
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
185
Decks Running
94
In Decks
650
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format
Card text
Oversimplify card

Oversimplify

{3} {G} {U}
Sorcery
Exile all creatures. Each player creates a 0/0 green and blue Fractal creature token and puts a number of +1/+1 counters on it equal to the total power of creatures they controlled that were exiled this way.
Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC) · Rare · Illustrated by Liiga Smilshkalne

Final zone distribution

42 instances
2.4%
Library
4.8%
Battlefield
52.4%
Graveyard
7.1%
Exile

The "good card" funnel

185 brought · 91 players
Brought to game
185
Ever drawn
39
Reached battlefield
24
Still on board at game end
2
≥ -23.3pp

Players who cast this card win 10% of the time (n=24) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=126).

Observed gap -10.4pp; 95% confidence interval -23.3pp to +2.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=24
0%
T1
0%
T2
0%
T3
8%
T4
0%
T5
75%
T6-9
17%
T10+
Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 15
On curve 8% (0 / 24 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 35%
24 of 100 times cast 24%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 650,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.