Live Play Data

Raise the Alarm

· Instant · Foundations Jumpstart (J25)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

401

Decks Running

180

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

70%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=71

14%

18%

39%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 12

On curve 17% (10 / 71 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 25%

The "good card" funnel

401 brought · 168 players

Brought to game

401

Ever drawn

101

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -15.2pp

Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=57) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=265).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=28).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -3.3pp; 95% confidence interval -15.2pp to +8.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

111 instances

4.5%

Library

0.9%

Battlefield

69.4%

Graveyard

7.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Winota, Joiner of Forces 30 decks
2 Aziza, Mage Tower Captain 15 decks
3 Silverquill, the Disputant 14 decks
4 Arabella, Abandoned Doll 12 decks
5 Jace, Multiverse Architect 10 decks
6 Myrel, Shield of Argive 9 decks
7 Baylen, the Haymaker 8 decks
8 Extus, Oriq Overlord // Awaken the Blood Avatar 7 decks
9 Jasmine Boreal of the Seven 4 decks
10 Commander Mustard 3 decks

Card text

Raise the Alarm

Instant

Create two 1/1 white Soldier creature tokens.

Foundations Jumpstart (J25) · Common · Illustrated by Slawomir Maniak

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 780,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.