Live Play Data

Sword Coast Serpent // Capsizing Wave

· Creature — Serpent Dragon // Instant — Adventure · Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate (CLB)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

119

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

6.5

Drawn → Played

54%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=20

15%

20%

45%

T6-9

20%

T10+

Median 6.5 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 11

On curve 65% (3 / 20 cast on T7)

The "good card" funnel

119 brought · 59 players

Brought to game

119

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 45% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -12.2pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=19) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=69).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=17).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +9.7pp; 95% confidence interval -12.2pp to +31.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

43 instances

20.9%

Battlefield

14.0%

Graveyard

32.6%

Exile

32.6%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Beluna Grandsquall // Seek Thrills 9 decks
2 Gorion, Wise Mentor 6 decks
3 Kenessos, Priest of Thassa 6 decks
4 Imoti, Celebrant of Bounty 3 decks
5 Doc Aurlock, Grizzled Genius 2 decks
6 Lozhan, Dragons' Legacy 2 decks
7 Ojer Pakpatiq, Deepest Epoch // Temple of Cyclical Time 2 decks
8 Sivitri, Dragon Master 2 decks
9 Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow 2 decks
10 Acolyte of Bahamut 1 decks

Card text

Sword Coast Serpent

Creature — Serpent Dragon

This creature can't be blocked as long as you've cast a noncreature spell this turn.

6 / 6

Capsizing Wave

Instant — Adventure

Return target creature to its owner's hand. (Then exile this card. You may cast the creature later from exile.)

Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate (CLB) · Common · Illustrated by Caio Monteiro

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 750,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.