Card Preview

Warg Rider

· Creature — Orc Warrior · The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (LTR)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

127

Decks Running

In Decks

344

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Card text

Warg Rider

Creature — Orc Warrior

Menace Other Orcs and Goblins you control have menace. At the beginning of combat on your turn, amass Orcs 2. (Put two +1/+1 counters on an Army you control. It's also an Orc. If you don't control an Army, create a 0/0 black Orc Army creature token first.)

4 / 3

The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (LTR) · Rare · Illustrated by Pascal Quidault

Final zone distribution

32 instances

3.1%

Library

37.5%

Battlefield

31.3%

Graveyard

6.3%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

127 brought · 55 players

Brought to game

127

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 55% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -6.1pp

Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=20) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=82).

Observed gap +14.2pp; 95% confidence interval -6.1pp to +34.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=22

23%

45%

T6-9

14%

T10+

Median 6.5 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 11

On curve 41% (5 / 22 cast on T5)

22 of 100 times cast 22%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 650,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.