Live Play Data

Warg Rider

· Creature — Orc Warrior · The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (LTR)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

413

Decks Running

173

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

63%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=58

14%

19%

50%

T6-9

12%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 14

On curve 38% (11 / 58 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 29%

The "good card" funnel

413 brought · 156 players

Brought to game

413

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 45% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -1.5pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=53) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=264).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 25% (n=30).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.1pp; 95% confidence interval -1.5pp to +21.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

105 instances

1.0%

Library

24.8%

Battlefield

34.3%

Graveyard

11.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Warg Rider

Creature — Orc Warrior

Menace Other Orcs and Goblins you control have menace. At the beginning of combat on your turn, amass Orcs 2. (Put two +1/+1 counters on an Army you control. It's also an Orc. If you don't control an Army, create a 0/0 black Orc Army creature token first.)

4 / 3

The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (LTR) · Rare · Illustrated by Pascal Quidault

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.