Card Preview
Winter Orb
0%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
133
Decks Running
74
In Decks
483
Decklist Inclusion
0%
Format
Final zone distribution
46 instances4.3%
Library
43.5%
Battlefield
21.7%
Graveyard
13.0%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Urza, Lord High Artificer
11 decks
-
2
Grand Arbiter Augustin IV
7 decks
-
3
Jon Irenicus, Shattered One
3 decks
-
4
Daretti, Scrap Savant
2 decks
-
5
Elas il-Kor, Sadistic Pilgrim
2 decks
-
6
Hokori, Dust Drinker
2 decks
-
7
Jorn, God of Winter // Kaldring, the Rimestaff
2 decks
-
8
Sliver Queen
2 decks
- 9 Zhulodok, Void Gorger 2 decks
-
10
Ant-Man, Elusive Avenger
1 decks
The "good card" funnel
133 brought · 71 playersBrought to game
133
Ever drawn
43
Reached battlefield
33
Still on board at game end
20
Once cast, 61% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -3.1pp
Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=32) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=83).
Observed gap +13.5pp; 95% confidence interval -3.1pp to +30.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=33
3%
T1
3%
T2
21%
T3
30%
T4
9%
T5
15%
T6-9
18%
T10+
Median
4
P25
3
· P75
7
· max
13
On curve
6%
(1 / 33 cast on T2)
Cast same turn as drawn
44%
33 of 100 times cast
33%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 640,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.