Live Play Data

Winternight Stories

· Sorcery · Tarkir: Dragonstorm (TDM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

196

Decks Running

106

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

62%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=38

71%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 6 · P75 8 · max 13

On curve 8% (3 / 38 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 30%

The "good card" funnel

199 brought · 100 players

Brought to game

199

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -0.1pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=36) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=112).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 50% (n=19).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +14.8pp; 95% confidence interval -0.1pp to +29.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

70 instances

4.3%

Battlefield

55.7%

Graveyard

22.9%

Exile

17.1%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Vnwxt, Verbose Host 14 decks
2 Norman Osborn // Green Goblin 4 decks
3 Veyran, Voice of Duality 4 decks
4 Captain Howler, Sea Scourge 3 decks
5 Neerdiv, Devious Diver 3 decks
6 Thranduil, the Elvenking 3 decks
7 Ureni of the Unwritten 3 decks
8 Admiral Brass, Unsinkable 2 decks
9 Ellie and Alan, Paleontologists 2 decks
10 Emet-Selch of the Third Seat 2 decks

Card text

Winternight Stories

Sorcery

Draw three cards. Then discard two cards unless you discard a creature card. Harmonize {4}

(You may cast this card from your graveyard for its harmonize cost. You may tap a creature you control to reduce that cost by {X}

, where X is its power. Then exile this spell.)

Tarkir: Dragonstorm (TDM) · Rare · Illustrated by Zara Alfonso

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.