Live Play Data

Winternight Stories

· Sorcery · Tarkir: Dragonstorm (TDM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

110

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

59%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=24

58%

T6-9

13%

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 12

On curve 13% (2 / 24 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 26%

The "good card" funnel

113 brought · 54 players

Brought to game

113

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -3.7pp

Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=23) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=58).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 57% (n=15).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +15.8pp; 95% confidence interval -3.7pp to +35.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

45 instances

2.2%

Battlefield

55.6%

Graveyard

24.4%

Exile

17.8%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Winternight Stories

Sorcery

Draw three cards. Then discard two cards unless you discard a creature card. Harmonize {4}

(You may cast this card from your graveyard for its harmonize cost. You may tap a creature you control to reduce that cost by {X}

, where X is its power. Then exile this spell.)

Tarkir: Dragonstorm (TDM) · Rare · Illustrated by Zara Alfonso

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.