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Zimone's Hypothesis

· Instant · Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

167

Decks Running

In Decks

522

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Card text

Zimone's Hypothesis

Instant

You may put a +1/+1 counter on a creature. Then choose odd or even. Return each creature with power of the chosen quality to its owner's hand. (Zero is even.)

Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC) · Rare · Illustrated by Crystal Fae

Final zone distribution

37 instances

2.7%

Library

59.5%

Graveyard

8.1%

Exile

29.7%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

167 brought · 79 players

Brought to game

167

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -9.0pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=22) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=115).

Observed gap +9.0pp; 95% confidence interval -9.0pp to +27.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=22

27%

55%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 10

On curve 36% (6 / 22 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 20%

22 of 100 times cast 22%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 650,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.