Live Play Data

Zimone's Hypothesis

· Instant · Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

512

Decks Running

224

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

61%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=81

12%

62%

T6-9

23%

T10+

Median 7 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 15

On curve 15% (10 / 81 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 23%

The "good card" funnel

512 brought · 204 players

Brought to game

512

Ever drawn

132

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -7.4pp

Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=78) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=332).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 39% (n=49).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +2.5pp; 95% confidence interval -7.4pp to +12.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

141 instances

2.8%

Library

2.1%

Battlefield

62.4%

Graveyard

2.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Zimone's Hypothesis

Instant

You may put a +1/+1 counter on a creature. Then choose odd or even. Return each creature with power of the chosen quality to its owner's hand. (Zero is even.)

Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC) · Rare · Illustrated by Crystal Fae

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 780,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.