Live Play Data

Aerial Extortionist

· Creature — Bird Soldier · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

335

Decks Running

155

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

57%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=49

10%

14%

49%

T6-9

18%

T10+

Median 6 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 14

On curve 33% (7 / 49 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 30%

The "good card" funnel

335 brought · 152 players

Brought to game

335

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 55% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +7.2pp

Players who cast this card win 46% of the time (n=46) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=210).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 14% (n=33).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +22.0pp; 95% confidence interval +7.2pp to +36.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

94 instances

28.7%

Battlefield

34.0%

Graveyard

10.6%

Exile

26.6%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Niko, Light of Hope 14 decks
2 Rocco, Street Chef 13 decks
3 Morska, Undersea Sleuth 10 decks
4 Choco, Seeker of Paradise 7 decks
5 Elesh Norn, Mother of Machines 7 decks
6 Kastral, the Windcrested 7 decks
7 Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima 6 decks
8 Kangee, Sky Warden 6 decks
9 Kamiz, Obscura Oculus 5 decks
10 Whtz, the Bibliophile 5 decks

Card text

Aerial Extortionist

Creature — Bird Soldier

Flying Whenever this creature enters or deals combat damage to a player, exile up to one target nonland permanent. For as long as that card remains exiled, its owner may cast it. Whenever another player casts a spell from anywhere other than their hand, draw a card.

4 / 3

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Rare · Illustrated by Deruchenko Alexander

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.