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Aerial Extortionist

· Creature — Bird Soldier · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

216

Decks Running

In Decks

796

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Card text

Aerial Extortionist

Creature — Bird Soldier

Flying Whenever this creature enters or deals combat damage to a player, exile up to one target nonland permanent. For as long as that card remains exiled, its owner may cast it. Whenever another player casts a spell from anywhere other than their hand, draw a card.

4 / 3

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Rare · Illustrated by Deruchenko Alexander

Final zone distribution

67 instances

32.8%

Battlefield

35.8%

Graveyard

9.0%

Exile

22.4%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Niko, Light of Hope 11 decks
2 Rocco, Street Chef 10 decks
3 Morska, Undersea Sleuth 9 decks
4 Elesh Norn, Mother of Machines 6 decks
5 Choco, Seeker of Paradise 4 decks
6 Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima 4 decks
7 Kamiz, Obscura Oculus 4 decks
8 Kangee, Sky Warden 4 decks
9 Kastral, the Windcrested 4 decks
10 Arthur, Marigold Knight 3 decks

The "good card" funnel

216 brought · 95 players

Brought to game

216

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 56% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +5.7pp

Players who cast this card win 45% of the time (n=39) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=131).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 15% (n=20) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +22.2pp; 95% confidence interval +5.7pp to +38.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=39

13%

15%

49%

T6-9

15%

T10+

Median 6 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 14

On curve 36% (6 / 39 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 28%

39 of 100 times cast 39%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 660,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.