Arid Mesa
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Arid Mesa
Final zone distribution
1132 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
117 decks
-
2
Edgar Markov
72 decks
-
3
Kaalia of the Vast
71 decks
-
4
Gishath, Sun's Avatar
43 decks
-
5
Toph, the First Metalbender
38 decks
-
6
Pantlaza, Sun-Favored
37 decks
-
7
Vivi Ornitier
33 decks
-
8
Rograkh, Son of Rohgahh
32 decks
-
9
Sauron, the Dark Lord
32 decks
-
10
Cloud, Ex-SOLDIER
31 decks
The "good card" funnel
5037 brought · 1519 playersOnce cast, 8% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=637) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=2873).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 30% (n=158).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +2.6pp; 95% confidence interval +0.5pp to +4.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.