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Arid Mesa

Land · Modern Horizons 2 (MH2)

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Times Brought

2505

Decks Running

1252

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Final zone distribution

569 instances

3.9%

Library

5.6%

Battlefield

68.5%

Graveyard

9.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 The Ur-Dragon 56 decks
2 Edgar Markov 36 decks
3 Kaalia of the Vast 28 decks
4 Pantlaza, Sun-Favored 21 decks
5 Gishath, Sun's Avatar 20 decks
6 Toph, the First Metalbender 20 decks
7 Vivi Ornitier 18 decks
8 Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness 16 decks
9 The First Sliver 16 decks
10 Atla Palani, Nest Tender 15 decks

The "good card" funnel

2512 brought · 779 players

Brought to game

2512

Ever drawn

525

Reached battlefield

421

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 8% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +0.3pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=335) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=1455).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=88) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +3.2pp; 95% confidence interval +0.3pp to +6.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=421

30%

14%

10%

19%

T6-9

T10+

Median 3 P25 1 · P75 5 · max 13

Cast same turn as drawn 64%

2649 of 300 tracked games 99%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 650,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.