Live Play Data

Ashaya, Soul of the Wild

· Legendary Creature — Elemental · Duskmourn: House of Horror Commander (DSC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

590

Decks Running

275

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

71%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

36% of games where Ashaya, Soul of the Wild resolved ended in a win for the caster. That's +13.7 percentage points above the win rate in games where Ashaya stayed in the library, a consistent early signal across 99 observed casts.

Ashaya, Soul of the Wild resolves at a win rate of 36% across 99 tracked casts on Playgroup Live. Games where she stayed buried in the library came in at 22%, putting the cast-vs-library gap at +13.7 percentage points. With a lower-bound confidence estimate above zero, that lift reads as a real signal rather than noise, though the sample is still growing.

As a 5-mana mythic, Ashaya takes time to arrive. Median first-cast turn is 7.0, and the distribution stretches well into the late game. Players don't slam her immediately when drawn: only 38% of drawn copies reach the battlefield the same turn they're picked up, and the median hand-hold is two turns. That patience makes sense. Ashaya's power scales with land count, so the later she arrives the bigger the payoff.

Her home is solidly in green land-matters strategies. Toph, the First Metalbender leads the commander distribution, followed by Lumra, Bellow of the Woods and Aesi, Tyrant of Gyre Strait. The data spans 251 distinct players, and no single contributor accounts for more than 65% of tracked instances, giving the dataset reasonable breadth for a niche mythic.

At a glance

3% of tracked Commander decks include Ashaya, Soul of the Wild
T7.0 median first-cast turn, typical for a 5-mana top-end threat
36% win rate when Ashaya resolves, vs 22% when she stays in the library
71% of drawn copies reach the battlefield before the game ends
65% battlefield stickiness once cast
251 distinct players have brought Ashaya to a tracked game

First-cast turn

n=104

12%

13%

59%

T6-9

10%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 13

On curve 32% (13 / 104 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 38%

The "good card" funnel

590 brought · 251 players

Brought to game

590

Ever drawn

146

Reached battlefield

104

Still on board at game end

71%

Of 590 Ashaya copies brought to games, 146 were drawn, 104 of those were cast, and roughly 65% of resolved copies remained on the battlefield through end of game.

≥ +4.6pp

Players who cast this card win 36% of the time (n=99) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=364).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=37) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +13.7pp; 95% confidence interval +4.6pp to +22.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

187 instances

4.3%

Library

40.1%

Battlefield

29.4%

Graveyard

5.9%

Exile

Most observed Ashaya instances end on the battlefield or in the graveyard after a fight, with only a small fraction persisting untouched in the library. That speaks to how actively players pursue and interact with her once she's in play.

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The commander list is spread across more than a dozen green-inclusive strategies, with no single commander dominating. Land-matters themes like Lumra, Aesi, and Toph cluster at the top, reflecting Ashaya's natural home.

Card text

Ashaya, Soul of the Wild

Legendary Creature — Elemental

Ashaya's power and toughness are each equal to the number of lands you control. Nontoken creatures you control are Forest lands in addition to their other types. (They're still affected by summoning sickness.)

* / *

Duskmourn: House of Horror Commander (DSC) · Mythic · Illustrated by Chase Stone

Frequently Asked

How often is Ashaya drawn and cast in a Commander game?

Across 577 tracked multiplayer games where Ashaya was in the deck, she was drawn 25% of the time. Of 146 copies that reached a player's hand, 71% were cast before the game ended. The remainder were largely held or left uncast as the game concluded around them.

What turn does Ashaya usually land on the battlefield?

Median first-cast turn is 7.0, with the interquartile range running from turn 5 to turn 8. The early tail exists: a handful of casts land on turns 2-3, likely via ramp or cost reduction. Most of the mass clusters between turns 5 and 8, consistent with what you'd expect from a 5-mana creature in a green ramp shell.

How long do players hold Ashaya in hand before casting her?

The median hold time is 2 turns from draw to cast. Only 38% of drawn copies are cast the same turn they're picked up. That's a relatively deliberate deployment pattern. Players appear to wait for a critical land count threshold or for the right window rather than casting her at the earliest opportunity.

Does casting Ashaya actually improve your odds of winning?

The data shows a +13.7 percentage-point lift in win rate when Ashaya is cast versus when she stays buried. Cast win rate sits at 36% across 99 observations; library win rate sits at 22% across 364 observations. The lower-bound estimate for the gap is above zero, making this one of the cleaner directional signals in our dataset. Treat it as consistent early evidence, not a proven causal claim.

Is Ashaya, Soul of the Wild banned anywhere?

Ashaya is legal in Commander, Legacy, Modern, Pioneer, Vintage, Historic, Timeless, Duel Commander, Oathbreaker, Brawl, Gladiator, and Competitive Brawl. She is not legal in Standard, Pauper, Pauper Commander, or Premodern. There are no bans or restrictions on her in any format where she is legal.

Which commanders most often pair with Ashaya in tracked games?

Toph, the First Metalbender leads with the most decks, followed by Lumra, Bellow of the Woods and Aesi, Tyrant of Gyre Strait. The list skews heavily toward green land-matters and lands-in-play-matters strategies, which is exactly what Ashaya's creature-as-Forest ability enables. She also appears as a commander in her own right in a portion of tracked decks.