Ashiok, Dream Render
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Ashiok, Dream Render
Final zone distribution
62 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Umbris, Fear Manifest
32 decks
-
2
Atraxa, Praetors' Voice
15 decks
-
3
Muldrotha, the Gravetide
14 decks
-
4
Nekusar, the Mindrazer
7 decks
-
5
Oloro, Ageless Ascetic
7 decks
-
6
Tam, the Possibility
7 decks
-
7
The Wise Mothman
7 decks
-
8
Nicol Bolas, the Ravager // Nicol Bolas, the Arisen
5 decks
-
9
Sisay, Weatherlight Captain
5 decks
-
10
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
5 decks
The "good card" funnel
278 brought · 143 playersOnce cast, 74% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=28) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=152).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 19% (n=16).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +6.4pp; 95% confidence interval -3.4pp to +16.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.