Live Play Data

Baral's Expertise

· Sorcery · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

364

Decks Running

185

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

68%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=62

11%

23%

55%

T6-9

11%

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 12

On curve 34% (14 / 62 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 22%

The "good card" funnel

364 brought · 171 players

Brought to game

364

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ +8.5pp

Players who cast this card win 42% of the time (n=55) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=216).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=27).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +22.2pp; 95% confidence interval +8.5pp to +35.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

103 instances

6.8%

Library

1.0%

Battlefield

58.3%

Graveyard

13.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Shiko and Narset, Unified 52 decks
2 Stella Lee, Wild Card 16 decks
3 Ashling, Rekindled // Ashling, Rimebound 13 decks
4 Hinata, Dawn-Crowned 11 decks
5 Vivi Ornitier 6 decks
6 Namor the Sub-Mariner 4 decks
7 Quandrix, the Proof 4 decks
8 Alania, Divergent Storm 3 decks
9 Eris, Roar of the Storm 3 decks
10 Gandalf, Party Guest 3 decks

Card text

Baral's Expertise

Sorcery

Return up to three target artifacts and/or creatures to their owners' hands. You may cast a spell with mana value 4 or less from your hand without paying its mana cost.

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC) · Rare · Illustrated by Todd Lockwood

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.