Live Play Data

Bill the Pony

· Legendary Creature — Horse · The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (LTR)

Live Inclusion

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

162

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

50%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=23

26%

43%

T6-9

17%

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 9 · max 15

On curve 30% (6 / 23 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 40%

The "good card" funnel

162 brought · 82 players

Brought to game

162

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 70% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -18.3pp

Players who cast this card win 16% of the time (n=16) , vs 16% when it never left the library (n=97).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 13% (n=15).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -0.4pp; 95% confidence interval -18.3pp to +17.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

44 instances

2.3%

Library

31.8%

Battlefield

31.8%

Graveyard

34.1%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Bill the Pony

Legendary Creature — Horse

When Bill the Pony enters, create two Food tokens. (They're artifacts with " {2}

, Sacrifice this token: You gain 3 life.") Sacrifice a Food: Until end of turn, target creature you control assigns combat damage equal to its toughness rather than its power.

1 / 4

The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (LTR) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Christina Kraus

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.