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Part of Tales of Middle-earth
·
Sorcery
·
The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (LTR)
Card Preview
Birthday Escape
·
Sorcery
·
The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (LTR)
0%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
140
Decks Running
78
In Decks
448
Decklist Inclusion
0%
Format
Card text
Birthday Escape
Sorcery
Draw a card. The Ring tempts you.
The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (LTR)
·
Common
·
Illustrated by David Álvarez
Final zone distribution
50 instances2.0%
Library
68.0%
Graveyard
12.0%
Exile
18.0%
Hand
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Sauron, the Dark Lord
37 decks
-
2
Lord of the Nazgûl
19 decks
-
3
Galadriel of Lothlórien
4 decks
-
4
Massimo, the Magician
4 decks
-
5
Aragorn, the Uniter
2 decks
-
6
Bilbo, Thief in the Night
2 decks
-
7
Bilbo, Retired Burglar
1 decks
-
8
Etrata, Deadly Fugitive
1 decks
-
9
Gandalf of the Secret Fire
1 decks
-
10
Gran-Gran
1 decks
The "good card" funnel
140 brought · 75 playersBrought to game
140
Ever drawn
46
Reached battlefield
33
Still on board at game end
0
≥ -15.0pp
Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=31) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=83).
Observed gap +1.6pp; 95% confidence interval -15.0pp to +18.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=33
9%
T1
12%
T2
15%
T3
6%
T4
6%
T5
45%
T6-9
6%
T10+
Median
6
P25
3
· P75
7
· max
10
On curve
9%
(3 / 33 cast on T1)
Cast same turn as drawn
50%
33 of 100 times cast
33%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 650,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.