Card Preview

Birthday Escape

· Sorcery · The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (LTR)

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

168

Decks Running

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text

Birthday Escape

Sorcery

Draw a card. The Ring tempts you.

The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (LTR) · Common · Illustrated by David Álvarez

Final zone distribution

48 instances

4.2%

Battlefield

72.9%

Graveyard

6.3%

Exile

16.7%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

168 brought · 75 players

Brought to game

168

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -16.4pp

Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=33) , vs 31% when it never left the library (n=82).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -6.4pp; 95% confidence interval -16.4pp to +3.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=37

11%

16%

43%

T6-9

11%

T10+

Median 6 P25 3 · P75 8 · max 17

On curve 3% (1 / 37 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 54%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.