Live Play Data

Bloodline Pretender

· Artifact Creature — Shapeshifter · March of the Machine Commander (MOC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

462

Decks Running

255

Median Cast Turn

5.0

Drawn → Played

74%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=80

23%

14%

38%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 3 · P75 8 · max 13

On curve 29% (18 / 80 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 33%

The "good card" funnel

462 brought · 239 players

Brought to game

462

Ever drawn

108

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 45% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -6.9pp

Players who cast this card win 22% of the time (n=75) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=292).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=22).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +2.9pp; 95% confidence interval -6.9pp to +12.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

122 instances

1.6%

Library

29.5%

Battlefield

35.2%

Graveyard

12.3%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Bloodline Pretender

Artifact Creature — Shapeshifter

Changeling (This card is every creature type.) As this creature enters, choose a creature type. Whenever another creature you control of the chosen type enters, put a +1/+1 counter on this creature.

2 / 2

March of the Machine Commander (MOC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Slawomir Maniak

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.