collections_bookmark Part of Outlaws of Thunder Junction auto_awesome #12 in Orzhov Commander Staples
Breena, the Demagogue card art
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Breena, the Demagogue

{1} {W} {B} · Legendary Creature — Bird Warlock · Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC)
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
268
Decks Running
164
In Decks
1085
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format

Final zone distribution

79 instances
36.7%
Battlefield
25.3%
Graveyard
7.6%
Exile
21.5%
Hand

The "good card" funnel

268 brought · 155 players
Brought to game
268
Ever drawn
58
Reached battlefield
39
Still on board at game end
29

Once cast, 46% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -11.9pp

Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=37) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=180).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 19% (n=20) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +2.3pp; 95% confidence interval -11.9pp to +16.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=39
0%
T1
10%
T2
15%
T3
10%
T4
13%
T5
46%
T6-9
5%
T10+
Median 6 P25 3 · P75 8 · max 14
On curve 26% (6 / 39 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 39%
39 of 100 times cast 39%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 630,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.