Live Play Data

Cactusfolk Sureshot

· Creature — Plant Mercenary · Outlaws of Thunder Junction (OTJ)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

187

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

79%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=31

13%

10%

55%

T6-9

16%

T10+

Median 7 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 13

On curve 19% (4 / 31 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 21%

The "good card" funnel

187 brought · 91 players

Brought to game

187

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 58% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -7.7pp

Players who cast this card win 43% of the time (n=26) , vs 31% when it never left the library (n=124).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +12.6pp; 95% confidence interval -7.7pp to +32.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

44 instances

4.5%

Library

40.9%

Battlefield

22.7%

Graveyard

9.1%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Cactusfolk Sureshot

Creature — Plant Mercenary

Reach Ward {2}

(Whenever this creature becomes the target of a spell or ability an opponent controls, counter it unless that player pays {2}

.) At the beginning of combat on your turn, other creatures you control with power 4 or greater gain trample and haste until end of turn.

4 / 4

Outlaws of Thunder Junction (OTJ) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Artur Nakhodkin

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.