Live Play Data

Celeborn the Wise

· Legendary Creature — Elf Noble · The Hobbit Eternal (HOC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

104

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

6.5

Drawn → Played

73%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=22

18%

50%

T6-9

18%

T10+

Median 6.5 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 12

On curve 14% (2 / 22 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 41%

The "good card" funnel

104 brought · 53 players

Brought to game

104

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 59% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -6.1pp

Players who cast this card win 18% of the time (n=20) , vs 7% when it never left the library (n=59).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.7pp; 95% confidence interval -6.1pp to +27.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

33 instances

39.4%

Battlefield

39.4%

Graveyard

3.0%

Exile

18.2%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Celeborn the Wise

Legendary Creature — Elf Noble

Whenever you attack with one or more Elves, scry 1. Whenever you scry, Celeborn gets +1/+1 until end of turn for each card looked at while scrying this way.

3 / 3

The Hobbit Eternal (HOC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Wangjie Li

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.