Card Preview

Cinder Strike

· Sorcery · Lorwyn Eclipsed (ECL)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

102

Decks Running

In Decks

122

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Card text

Cinder Strike

Sorcery

As an additional cost to cast this spell, you may blight 1. (You may put a -1/-1 counter on a creature you control.) Cinder Strike deals 2 damage to target creature. It deals 4 damage to that creature instead if this spell's additional cost was paid.

Lorwyn Eclipsed (ECL) · Common · Illustrated by Joshua Raphael

Final zone distribution

33 instances

3.0%

Library

69.7%

Graveyard

12.1%

Exile

15.2%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Auntie Ool, Cursewretch 7 decks
2 Prismari, the Inspiration 2 decks
3 Aegar, the Freezing Flame 1 decks
4 Alexios, Deimos of Kosmos 1 decks
5 Baron Von Count 1 decks
6 Etali, Primal Storm 1 decks
7 Fire Lord Azula 1 decks
8 Grub, Storied Matriarch // Grub, Notorious Auntie 1 decks
9 Heartless Hidetsugu 1 decks
10 Homura, Human Ascendant // Homura's Essence 1 decks

The "good card" funnel

102 brought · 27 players

Brought to game

102

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -6.9pp

Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=22) , vs 16% when it never left the library (n=64).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +13.9pp; 95% confidence interval -6.9pp to +34.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=22

18%

59%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 12

On curve 0% (0 / 22 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 23%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.