Concordant Crossroads
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Concordant Crossroads
Final zone distribution
162 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Unbeatable Squirrel Girl
54 decks
-
2
Ghalta, Primal Hunger
17 decks
-
3
Chatterfang, Squirrel General
10 decks
-
4
Fynn, the Fangbearer
10 decks
-
5
Lathril, Blade of the Elves
10 decks
-
6
The Notary Hobbits
10 decks
-
7
Shroofus Sproutsire
9 decks
-
8
Raph & Mikey, Troublemakers
7 decks
-
9
Baylen, the Haymaker
6 decks
-
10
Marwyn, the Nurturer
6 decks
The "good card" funnel
828 brought · 332 playersOnce cast, 90% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=82) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=498).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 25% (n=33).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +4.8pp; 95% confidence interval -0.8pp to +10.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.