Contaminated Aquifer
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Contaminated Aquifer
Final zone distribution
118 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
110 decks
-
2
Teval, the Balanced Scale
49 decks
-
3
Fire Lord Azula
4 decks
-
4
Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin
4 decks
-
5
Be'lakor, the Dark Master
3 decks
-
6
Umbris, Fear Manifest
3 decks
-
7
Wilhelt, the Rotcleaver
3 decks
-
8
Captain N'ghathrod
2 decks
-
9
Go-Shintai of Life's Origin
2 decks
-
10
Homer, the Hermit
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
476 brought · 231 playersOnce cast, 97% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=55) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=260).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 30% (n=16).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +7.2pp; 95% confidence interval +0.1pp to +14.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.