collections_bookmark Part of The Lost Caverns of Ixalan
Cruel Celebrant card art
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Cruel Celebrant

{W} {B} · Creature — Vampire · The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander (LCC)
2%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
224
Decks Running
119
In Decks
1060
Decklist Inclusion
2%
Format

Final zone distribution

62 instances
1.6%
Library
33.9%
Battlefield
35.5%
Graveyard
19.4%
Exile

The "good card" funnel

225 brought · 115 players
Brought to game
225
Ever drawn
55
Reached battlefield
49
Still on board at game end
21

Once cast, 43% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -4.9pp

Players who cast this card win 36% of the time (n=49) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=147).

Observed gap +9.8pp; 95% confidence interval -4.9pp to +24.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=49
4%
T1
12%
T2
8%
T3
6%
T4
10%
T5
47%
T6-9
12%
T10+
Median 6 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 20
On curve 16% (6 / 49 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 48%
49 of 100 times cast 49%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.