Card Preview

Decisive Denial

· Instant · Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC)

Decklist Inclusion

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

111

Decks Running

In Decks

567

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Final zone distribution

31 instances

3.2%

Library

3.2%

Battlefield

71.0%

Graveyard

3.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Zimone, Infinite Analyst 35 decks
2 Aragorn, the Uniter 5 decks
3 Kenessos, Priest of Thassa 3 decks
4 Pako, Arcane Retriever 3 decks
5 Riku of Many Paths 3 decks
6 Aloy, Savior of Meridian 2 decks
7 Jackal, Genius Geneticist 2 decks
8 Zimone, Paradox Sculptor 2 decks
9 Atraxa, Grand Unifier 1 decks
10 Bruce Banner // The Incredible Hulk 1 decks

The "good card" funnel

111 brought · 67 players

Brought to game

111

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ +1.5pp

Players who cast this card win 45% of the time (n=20) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=79).

Observed gap +22.0pp; 95% confidence interval +1.5pp to +42.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=20

15%

55%

T6-9

25%

T10+

Median 8.0 P25 7 · P75 10 · max 13

On curve 0% (0 / 20 cast on T2)

20 of 100 times cast 20%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.