Live Play Data

Demand Answers

· Instant · Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1876

Decks Running

935

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

69%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=293

12%

15%

43%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 14

On curve 11% (22 / 293 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 38%

The "good card" funnel

1876 brought · 771 players

Brought to game

1876

Ever drawn

426

Reached battlefield

293

Still on board at game end

≥ -2.6pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=265) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=1227).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=112).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +2.9pp; 95% confidence interval -2.6pp to +8.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

474 instances

3.2%

Library

2.3%

Battlefield

64.8%

Graveyard

11.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Fire Lord Azula 86 decks
2 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 50 decks
3 Jaws, Relentless Predator 32 decks
4 Magar of the Magic Strings 20 decks
5 The Beamtown Bullies 20 decks
6 Smaug the Impenetrable 19 decks
7 Kibo, Uktabi Prince 15 decks
8 Captain Howler, Sea Scourge 14 decks
9 Terra, Herald of Hope 14 decks
10 Krenko, Mob Boss 13 decks

Card text

Demand Answers

Instant

As an additional cost to cast this spell, sacrifice an artifact or discard a card. Draw two cards.

Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM) · Common · Illustrated by Justyna Dura

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.