collections_bookmark Part of Murders at Karlov Manor
Den Protector card art
Live Play Data

Den Protector

{1} {G} · Creature — Human Warrior · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)
0%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
119
Decks Running
43
Median Cast Turn
5.5
Drawn → Played
87%
Format

First-cast turn

n=34
3%
T1
3%
T2
12%
T3
18%
T4
15%
T5
44%
T6-9
6%
T10+
Median 5.5 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 11
On curve 6% (1 / 34 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 52%

The "good card" funnel

119 brought · 40 players
Brought to game
119
Ever drawn
39
Reached battlefield
34
Still on board at game end
19

Once cast, 56% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -4.2pp

Players who cast this card win 37% of the time (n=33) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=69).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +13.9pp; 95% confidence interval -4.2pp to +32.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

44 instances
43.2%
Battlefield
34.1%
Graveyard
13.6%
Exile
9.1%
Hand
Card text
Den Protector card

Den Protector

{1} {G}
Creature — Human Warrior
Creatures with power less than this creature's power can't block it. Megamorph {1}{G} (You may cast this card face down as a 2/2 creature for {3}. Turn it face up any time for its megamorph cost and put a +1/+1 counter on it.) When this creature is turned face up, return target card from your graveyard to your hand.
2 / 1
Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Rare · Illustrated by Viktor Titov

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.