Deserted Beach
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Deserted Beach
Final zone distribution
345 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Hope Estheim
21 decks
-
2
The Tenth Doctor
21 decks
-
3
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
21 decks
-
4
Brago, King Eternal
20 decks
-
5
Grand Arbiter Augustin IV
16 decks
-
6
Ms. Bumbleflower
15 decks
-
7
Sonic the Hedgehog
15 decks
-
8
Shorikai, Genesis Engine
13 decks
-
9
Denzilore Fatehold
12 decks
-
10
Mendicant Core, Guidelight
12 decks
The "good card" funnel
1421 brought · 624 playersOnce cast, 96% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=223) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=821).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=43).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -0.8pp; 95% confidence interval -4.5pp to +2.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.